UKBouldering.com

Politics 2023 (Read 476688 times)

TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted
#2475 Re: Politics 2020
August 20, 2022, 05:31:08 pm
And knee-jerk culture war nonsense to shore up support and distract from failing to cope with reality.

I'd expect a lot of this. She may be incompetent at government (endless meaningless trade deals, deeply suspect economics, foolish statements about Ukraine) but she is politically astute.  Some of the danger may come from response to crises, especially Ukraine, if she thinks, as she has said, that Russia can be pushed out of the whole country and Crimea.

Wellsy

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 1425
  • Karma: +103/-10
#2476 Re: Politics 2020
August 20, 2022, 05:49:09 pm
I don't think she's particularly politically astute tbh. I think she's dead in the water in a general election

Offwidth

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 1768
  • Karma: +57/-13
    • Offwidth
#2477 Re: Politics 2020
August 21, 2022, 10:38:21 am
I enjoy political list sites and have just come across this one for the first time (thanks to JLS ont'other channel) and thought it worth sharing more widely (plus at the bottom of the very long page there are links to other handy lists as well). Almost as good as Oborne's "Boris Lies" site. :)

https://yorkshirebylines.co.uk/regular-features/the-davis-downside-dossier/


TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted
#2479 Re: Politics 2020
August 27, 2022, 10:35:52 pm
From an article by Matt Chorley today:

Despite gadding about the place with decreasing coherence like the principal of a deranged hen do, Truss is not going to enjoy a honeymoon. It will be a political wake. Every position will change. Every policy will be dropped. The only thing dafter than her vow to cut this, that and the other is Sunak saying it would be immoral madness, but he would vote for it anyway.
The simplest argument against Brexit was the faff. It’s one thing if you could flick a switch to be out and thriving. But we couldn’t and we aren’t. And lo, we have spent the past six years faffing while Westminster’s small minds thought even smaller thoughts. Six years of threats and Malthouse compromises and wallpaper and photo-ops in a country now so shrunken as to think it is fine for the actual foreign secretary to say “the jury’s out” on whether the French president is a “friend or foe”. Or maybe she thinks a foe is a small horse.

TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted
#2480 Re: Politics 2020
August 30, 2022, 10:23:59 pm
I am not sure if this is strictly the thread for this but this...

https://www.theguardian.com/media/2022/aug/30/jeremy-vine-breached-impartiality-rules-over-safe-cycling-remarks-says-bbc?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

...is absurd. Supporting a safer cycling environment should not be controversial! Grant Shapps has recently railed against cyclists and suggested ridiculous legislation against it,  and yet as a cyclist, you are often faced with openly aggressive driving,  abuse and ignorance. 


Bradders

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 2806
  • Karma: +135/-3
#2481 Re: Politics 2020
August 31, 2022, 02:42:43 pm
Nope, not absurd at all.

LTNs are a political issue, and it's  a mis-characterisation to imply that they're solely a safer cycling scheme. Jeremy Vine has a duty of impartiality which by expressing support for LTNs he's explicitly breached.

Paul B

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 9628
  • Karma: +264/-4
#2482 Re: Politics 2020
August 31, 2022, 03:05:48 pm

...is absurd. Supporting a safer cycling environment should not be controversial! Grant Shapps has recently railed against cyclists and suggested ridiculous legislation against it

Immediate u-turn on his dogwhistle!
https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/nick-ferrari/no-plans-registration-plates-cyclists-grant-shapps/

TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted
#2483 Re: Politics 2020
September 01, 2022, 05:53:48 pm
Nope, not absurd at all.

LTNs are a political issue, and it's  a mis-characterisation to imply that they're solely a safer cycling scheme. Jeremy Vine has a duty of impartiality which by expressing support for LTNs he's explicitly breached.

He was, as far as I know only commenting on the cycling aspect as a keen cyclist. I do not feel that an enthusiasm for cycling constitutes a political slant.
Right wing politicians who want to be divisive pander to the small, vocal anti cycling minority but that shouldn't make everyone sink to this level.
Or is riding a bike now a political act? I suppose it's similar to many things that have been weaponised by politics, perhaps they shouldn't be so political, but they increasingly are, more seriously than cycling LGBTQ+ rights, feminism, abortion.... etc

Bradders

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 2806
  • Karma: +135/-3
#2484 Re: Politics 2020
September 01, 2022, 06:25:45 pm
Well the problem with thinking of the issue in that way is it implies LTNs exist in some sort of vacuum where they make cycling safer and that's it; no other effects. And that is not the case. They have various other effects, including increasing congestion on main roads, increasing emissions on main roads, redirecting traffic away from local businesses which are included in the LTN, affecting their revenues, etc. Which is why people disagree with them, not because people want to actively make cycling dangerous.

And Jeremy Vine should know all this.

Or is riding a bike now a political act? I suppose it's similar to many things that have been weaponised by politics, perhaps they shouldn't be so political, but they increasingly are, more seriously than cycling LGBTQ+ rights, feminism, abortion.... etc

 ::)

Come on, that's just daft. People disagree with each other about societal issues; that's not weaponisation! LTNs are implemented as a policy by democratically elected local authorities, I.e. by politicians, and people are entitled to disagree with that policy especially given there are entirely legitimate reasons to do so.

seankenny

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 1016
  • Karma: +116/-12
#2485 Re: Politics 2020
September 01, 2022, 06:51:46 pm
As someone who lives on a busy main road which was an LTN boundary road before the council reversed the scheme, I find anti-LTN people’s claims about my welfare to be shallow and hypocritical. Many of them struggled to understand that the LTN could and did really improve my quality of life even if it worked as expected and made my road a bit busier. Now the LTN is gone I see no attempt by any of those anti-LTN groups to continue campaigning for better air for me; I was simply a fig leaf to cover up the fact driving had been made a little harder for them, and if they had to degrade my quality of life a little to get that right back, so be it.

Despite having nothing but contempt for their arguments - often not based in any kind of fact - I grudgingly accept that the imposition of an LTN is a political act as it imposes new burdens on some citizens, even if those burdens are actually just forcing them to pay for the negative externality they impose on others. Vine could have done better journalism by interrogating the anti-LTN arguments rather than being a little bit polemical and getting into trouble with his employer.

TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted

galpinos

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 2115
  • Karma: +85/-1
#2487 Re: Politics 2020
September 02, 2022, 10:13:42 am
Well the problem with thinking of the issue in that way is it implies LTNs exist in some sort of vacuum where they make cycling safer and that's it; no other effects. And that is not the case. They have various other effects, including increasing congestion on main roads, increasing emissions on main roads, redirecting traffic away from local businesses which are included in the LTN, affecting their revenues, etc. Which is why people disagree with them, not because people want to actively make cycling dangerous

Firstly, LTNs are just for cyclists, they are for everyone not in a car. The anti-LTN lobby have been very good at making it about cyclists, who seem to be one of the bogeymen due jour.

Secondly, I would like to see the stats you have used to come to the conclusion that:
  • increasing congestion on main roads, increasing emissions on main roads
  • redirecting traffic away from local businesses which are included in the LTN, affecting their revenues

Taking the first point, we know that increasing car capacity (extra lanes) increases traffic (induced demand) and there is a fair bit of evidence that well planned LTNs bring a short term increase in traffic on boundary roads but then there is a often "traffic dissipation", leading to a decrease in traffic both in and around the LTNs. Some data to ponder:

https://nacto.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/disappearing_traffic_cairns.pdf

https://findingspress.org/article/17128-low-traffic-neighbourhoods-car-use-and-active-travel-evidence-from-the-people-and-places-survey-of-outer-london-active-travel-interventions.

https://enjoywalthamforest.co.uk/work-in-your-area/walthamstow-village/comparison-of-vehicle-numbers-before-and-after-the-scheme-and-during-the-trial/

Regarding the second point, cyclist and pedestrians spend more than motorists. As a topical example, Putney is seeing more traffic due to the closure to cars of Hammersmith bridge. This doesn't seem to have increase spend in any of the businesses there!

Reading:

https://content.tfl.gov.uk/walking-cycling-economic-benefits-summary-pack.pdf

TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted
#2488 Re: Politics 2020
September 03, 2022, 10:19:24 pm
An comprehensive round up of the hundreds of things that Truss has promised to do as PM https://www.politico.eu/article/elizabeth-truss-uk-tory-government-policy-manifesto/

Just to take one, her defence spending promises alone would cost at least £157bn. So, along with tax cuts, and the numerous other pledges,  that is either a lot of borrowing,  a lot of lies, or no public services or schools at all, ever.

TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted
#2489 Re: Politics 2020
September 04, 2022, 09:17:52 am
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/98992316-2adf-11ed-a4d5-afa440292fae?shareToken=97049bc5880af025e4d3a4d8ea035b30

Pasted from the Sunday Times:

"
Whatever the outcome of the battle for No 10, the process is a constitutional travesty. The leader of the Conservative Party is entitled to be prime minister because some 32 million voters elected a House of Commons with a majority of Tory MPs at the last general election. But the final choice of our next prime minister is not being made by those MPs. It is being made by some 160,000 party members. This would be fine if we were talking about a local Rotary club. But political parties are not just private associations. They do not belong only to their members. In a parliamentary democracy, they have a vital constitutional role as intermediaries between the public and the state.
Traditionally, members contributed support, funding and hard work, but political direction came from the parliamentary party. Conservative leaders were chosen by the party’s MPs until the leadership contest of 2001. The successful candidate that time was Iain Duncan Smith, who was supported by a minority of Tory MPs but nearly two thirds of members. The MPs booted him out two years later in a no-confidence vote. Labour MPs chose their leader until 1981. After some unsatisfactory experiments with an electoral college, Labour handed the choice to party members and supporters in 2015. They chose Jeremy Corbyn, a man with minimal support among Labour MPs, who tried several times without success to get rid of him.

Party members are by definition unrepresentative of the people who vote for their party. They are activists who naturally congregate at the edges of the political spectrum. This tendency has been aggravated by tactical entryism. The first-past-the-post system at general elections tends to create a duopoly of the two major parties, which forces the fringes to take over the centre if they want a voice in parliament. Labour has been invaded, since losing power in 2010, by the hard left of Momentum. Conservative constituency associations have been gradually occupied by powerful Europhobic groups whose natural home would have been Ukip or the Brexit Party in a more diverse political system. Conservative Party members are also significantly older and wealthier than the average voter, and heavily concentrated in the southeast. Imbalances like these are a problem for both parties. But they are a bigger problem for the country, because they undermine the way that democratic politics work.

A democracy comprises millions of individuals with conflicting opinions and interests, who will never agree on very much. Its first task is to accommodate these differences, so that people can live together in a single political community. Parliamentary parties have a major role here. They are coalitions of opinion, united only by a loose consistency of outlook and the desire to win elections. They operate in a political marketplace. To command a parliamentary majority, they have to appeal to a much broader range of opinion than their own members. Their whole object is to produce a slate of policies which perhaps only a minority would have chosen as its preferred option, but which the broadest possible range of people can live with. This has traditionally made them powerful engines of national compromise.

When choosing a new leader, MPs and party members have a very different outlook. MPs are there to represent the interests of their constituents and, in a broader sense, the public interest, whereas party members represent no one but themselves. MPs will look mainly to the impact of their choice on the electorate at large, because that will determine their chances of re-election. They know that this will involve a large measure of ideological compromise. By comparison, party members are rarely interested in ideological compromise and inclined to look no further than their own political positions. They will choose someone who shares their prejudices, and kid themselves that the rest of the electorate will see the light. Leadership contests become an auction in which candidates compete to promise political goodies calculated to appeal to their members but not necessarily to anyone else. Labour Party members and supporters nearly destroyed their party by selecting Corbyn, a man in their own image, as their leader. So far, no UK party leader chosen against the preferences of its MPs has ever gone on to win a general election.

This concentration on marginal sectors of the electorate polarises our politics and limits the choices available to voters at general elections. Sooner or later it will destroy the political market on which our democracy depends, and aggravate the dangerous alienation of the public from the whole political process. Arthur Balfour, who was Conservative prime minister from 1902 to 1905, is said to have declared that he would rather take political advice from his valet than from rank and file members of his party. Like many things that are better left unsaid, this has an inner wisdom, as the Conservatives are about to discover.
"


Bradders

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 2806
  • Karma: +135/-3
#2490 Re: Politics 2020
September 04, 2022, 10:42:05 am
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/98992316-2adf-11ed-a4d5-afa440292fae?shareToken=97049bc5880af025e4d3a4d8ea035b30

Pasted from the Sunday Times:

"
Whatever the outcome of the battle for No 10, the process is a constitutional travesty. The leader of the Conservative Party is entitled to be prime minister because some 32 million voters elected a House of Commons with a majority of Tory MPs at the last general election. But the final choice of our next prime minister is not being made by those MPs. It is being made by some 160,000 party members. This would be fine if we were talking about a local Rotary club. But political parties are not just private associations. They do not belong only to their members. In a parliamentary democracy, they have a vital constitutional role as intermediaries between the public and the state.
Traditionally, members contributed support, funding and hard work, but political direction came from the parliamentary party. Conservative leaders were chosen by the party’s MPs until the leadership contest of 2001. The successful candidate that time was Iain Duncan Smith, who was supported by a minority of Tory MPs but nearly two thirds of members. The MPs booted him out two years later in a no-confidence vote. Labour MPs chose their leader until 1981. After some unsatisfactory experiments with an electoral college, Labour handed the choice to party members and supporters in 2015. They chose Jeremy Corbyn, a man with minimal support among Labour MPs, who tried several times without success to get rid of him.

Party members are by definition unrepresentative of the people who vote for their party. They are activists who naturally congregate at the edges of the political spectrum. This tendency has been aggravated by tactical entryism. The first-past-the-post system at general elections tends to create a duopoly of the two major parties, which forces the fringes to take over the centre if they want a voice in parliament. Labour has been invaded, since losing power in 2010, by the hard left of Momentum. Conservative constituency associations have been gradually occupied by powerful Europhobic groups whose natural home would have been Ukip or the Brexit Party in a more diverse political system. Conservative Party members are also significantly older and wealthier than the average voter, and heavily concentrated in the southeast. Imbalances like these are a problem for both parties. But they are a bigger problem for the country, because they undermine the way that democratic politics work.

A democracy comprises millions of individuals with conflicting opinions and interests, who will never agree on very much. Its first task is to accommodate these differences, so that people can live together in a single political community. Parliamentary parties have a major role here. They are coalitions of opinion, united only by a loose consistency of outlook and the desire to win elections. They operate in a political marketplace. To command a parliamentary majority, they have to appeal to a much broader range of opinion than their own members. Their whole object is to produce a slate of policies which perhaps only a minority would have chosen as its preferred option, but which the broadest possible range of people can live with. This has traditionally made them powerful engines of national compromise.

When choosing a new leader, MPs and party members have a very different outlook. MPs are there to represent the interests of their constituents and, in a broader sense, the public interest, whereas party members represent no one but themselves. MPs will look mainly to the impact of their choice on the electorate at large, because that will determine their chances of re-election. They know that this will involve a large measure of ideological compromise. By comparison, party members are rarely interested in ideological compromise and inclined to look no further than their own political positions. They will choose someone who shares their prejudices, and kid themselves that the rest of the electorate will see the light. Leadership contests become an auction in which candidates compete to promise political goodies calculated to appeal to their members but not necessarily to anyone else. Labour Party members and supporters nearly destroyed their party by selecting Corbyn, a man in their own image, as their leader. So far, no UK party leader chosen against the preferences of its MPs has ever gone on to win a general election.

This concentration on marginal sectors of the electorate polarises our politics and limits the choices available to voters at general elections. Sooner or later it will destroy the political market on which our democracy depends, and aggravate the dangerous alienation of the public from the whole political process. Arthur Balfour, who was Conservative prime minister from 1902 to 1905, is said to have declared that he would rather take political advice from his valet than from rank and file members of his party. Like many things that are better left unsaid, this has an inner wisdom, as the Conservatives are about to discover.
"

TL;DR - party leaders being chosen by paying party members as opposed to democratically elected MPs is bad. Couldn't agree more.

Well the problem with thinking of the issue in that way is it implies LTNs exist in some sort of vacuum where they make cycling safer and that's it; no other effects. And that is not the case. They have various other effects, including increasing congestion on main roads, increasing emissions on main roads, redirecting traffic away from local businesses which are included in the LTN, affecting their revenues, etc. Which is why people disagree with them, not because people want to actively make cycling dangerous

Firstly, LTNs are just for cyclists, they are for everyone not in a car. The anti-LTN lobby have been very good at making it about cyclists, who seem to be one of the bogeymen due jour.

Secondly, I would like to see the stats you have used to come to the conclusion that:
  • increasing congestion on main roads, increasing emissions on main roads
  • redirecting traffic away from local businesses which are included in the LTN, affecting their revenues

Taking the first point, we know that increasing car capacity (extra lanes) increases traffic (induced demand) and there is a fair bit of evidence that well planned LTNs bring a short term increase in traffic on boundary roads but then there is a often "traffic dissipation", leading to a decrease in traffic both in and around the LTNs. Some data to ponder:

https://nacto.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/disappearing_traffic_cairns.pdf

https://findingspress.org/article/17128-low-traffic-neighbourhoods-car-use-and-active-travel-evidence-from-the-people-and-places-survey-of-outer-london-active-travel-interventions.

https://enjoywalthamforest.co.uk/work-in-your-area/walthamstow-village/comparison-of-vehicle-numbers-before-and-after-the-scheme-and-during-the-trial/

Regarding the second point, cyclist and pedestrians spend more than motorists. As a topical example, Putney is seeing more traffic due to the closure to cars of Hammersmith bridge. This doesn't seem to have increase spend in any of the businesses there!

Reading:

https://content.tfl.gov.uk/walking-cycling-economic-benefits-summary-pack.pdf

All great points. Note I never said that "LTNs are bad" was my opinion, I was simply illustrating why it is a political issue.

abarro81

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 4311
  • Karma: +345/-25
#2491 Re: Politics 2020
September 04, 2022, 03:59:42 pm
Surely everything is a political issue if some bunch of tw*ts chooses to make it such.

TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted
#2492 Re: Politics 2020
September 04, 2022, 05:53:09 pm
Surely everything is a political issue if some bunch of tw*ts chooses to make it such.

Quite. That was what I was saying, or trying to. In my opinion it shouldn't be, they make it harder to use a car in an urban environment, and that should be something everyone can support.

SA Chris

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 29277
  • Karma: +633/-11
    • http://groups.msn.com/ChrisClix
#2493 Re: Politics 2020
September 05, 2022, 07:38:35 am
today we find out if we are going to get collectively punched or kicked for the next term

Offwidth

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 1768
  • Karma: +57/-13
    • Offwidth
#2494 Re: Politics 2020
September 05, 2022, 08:41:30 am
Thought this was worth sharing on the Johnson contempt of Parliament 'opinion' published by the government. (thanks to JRS on t'other channel for spotting it)

https://davidallengreen.com/2022/09/the-not-at-all-devastating-devastating-johnson-opinion-on-contempt-of-parliament/

TobyD

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 3840
  • Karma: +88/-3
  • Job offers gratefully accepted
#2495 Re: Politics 2020
September 05, 2022, 09:55:51 am
Thought this was worth sharing on the Johnson contempt of Parliament 'opinion' published by the government. (thanks to JRS on t'other channel for spotting it)

https://davidallengreen.com/2022/09/the-not-at-all-devastating-devastating-johnson-opinion-on-contempt-of-parliament/

This might be a sound argument,  indeed it appears to be so. However,  the Johnson team's intention is clearly to try to make any future sanctions against him seem completely unjustified to the public,  and therefore maintain his popularity and potentially justify him being able to somehow escape them. Sadly,  this will probably work imho, and he'll probably have another stab at being PM at some point. 

lukeyboy

Offline
  • ****
  • forum abuser
  • Posts: 546
  • Karma: +26/-1
#2496 Re: Politics 2020
September 05, 2022, 09:57:51 am
today we find out if we are going to get collectively punched or kicked for the next term

I'm hoping for 'punched'

Wellsy

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 1425
  • Karma: +103/-10
#2497 Re: Politics 2020
September 05, 2022, 12:45:59 pm
We're going to get fucked and not in a good way

Moo

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Is an idiot
  • Posts: 1447
  • Karma: +84/-6
#2498 Re: Politics 2020
September 05, 2022, 01:35:57 pm
As you've said though wells I don't think truss could win a general election, as long as she doesn't wreck the gaff too much in the mean time, there's light at the end of the tunnel.

SA Chris

Offline
  • *****
  • forum hero
  • Posts: 29277
  • Karma: +633/-11
    • http://groups.msn.com/ChrisClix
#2499 Re: Politics 2020
September 05, 2022, 01:41:42 pm
or a shite at the end the funnel.

 

SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2024, SimplePortal