not sure what definition of the cohorts you're using here? the cohorts I've seen are these:Quote from: tomtom on January 05, 2021, 10:08:57 amand that gives 88% of deaths from the top four cohorts. 65% is from the top 1 and a half cohorts?
Quote from: spidermonkey09 on January 18, 2021, 09:42:58 amIn slightly deflating news, albeit probably makes sense from an scientific perspective, was listening to Zahawi on the radio just now suggesting that "gradual tiered easing of lockdown will start 2/3 weeks after top 9 priority cohorts vaccinated.' The planned timetable for that is end of March if all goes smoothly, which would suggest mid April before anything gets loosened up. Quite a big change from gradual easing after top 4 cohorts vaccinated (65% of deaths) to top 9 (99% of deaths and majority of pressure on NHS). Will be interesting to see whether that holds as suspect it will come under quite a lot of pressure from Tory right and public tbh.Haven't seen that interview, but that was always my interpretation of how long this lockdown would last; the legislation says 31st March so I took that as the most reliable indicator of when it might end / restrictions might start being lifted. Especially given a) how long the first lockdown was, and b) that things are worse now than they were then.
In slightly deflating news, albeit probably makes sense from an scientific perspective, was listening to Zahawi on the radio just now suggesting that "gradual tiered easing of lockdown will start 2/3 weeks after top 9 priority cohorts vaccinated.' The planned timetable for that is end of March if all goes smoothly, which would suggest mid April before anything gets loosened up. Quite a big change from gradual easing after top 4 cohorts vaccinated (65% of deaths) to top 9 (99% of deaths and majority of pressure on NHS). Will be interesting to see whether that holds as suspect it will come under quite a lot of pressure from Tory right and public tbh.
Surely the NHS pressure will be the main 'allower' of relaxation? For that - there is a 2-4 week lag on case numbers...Lots of anecdotal tales of covid hospitalisations in the media being much younger this time around. I wonder if this is due to better resilience (behavioural, PPE, Shielding) amongst the elderly/vulnerable - or whether the new strain does go for a younger cohort? Expect we'll see in the figures eventually but its interesting nothing has shown up yet despite the reports from wards.
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare#card-people_who_have_received_vaccinations_by_report_date_dailyworrying drop in vaccination numbers last couple of days - hopefully just a weekend thing.
It’s so hard to know what to think about these sorts of one line stats when there are so many confounding factors with people’s health. Also the Guardian seem to love a good Covid scare story!
I think the vast majority of those in hospital are aged 50-70. Depends how you define much younger I suppose, but I haven't read anything thus far suggesting that those in their 20'/30's/40s are being disproportionately affected.
Quote from: teestub on January 18, 2021, 06:02:39 pmIt’s so hard to know what to think about these sorts of one line stats when there are so many confounding factors with people’s health. Also the Guardian seem to love a good Covid scare story!100%. I'm all for slagging the government off but I think a lot of the reporting around vaccine side effects in particular borders on the scaremongering.
Reports from Israel suggesting that single Pfizer dose only 50% effective....
Quote from: tomtom on January 19, 2021, 06:24:18 pmReports from Israel suggesting that single Pfizer dose only 50% effective....I’d heard 89% today from an NHS source (the wife). There’s also something on More or Less this week suggesting 90% for one dose - although was only half listening while fingerboarding, so not sure if that’s Pfizer or AstraZeneca.
I’d heard 89% today from an NHS source (the wife). There’s also something on More or Less this week suggesting 90% for one dose - although was only half listening while fingerboarding, so not sure if that’s Pfizer or AstraZeneca.