The population size is irrelevant when judging if a sample is large enough if the sample is a small proportion of the population, as I am sure you all know. Two and a half thousand is a large, expensive survey if they used live interviews.
The 30% figure is troubling but I suspect it's a violent fantasty for most. My partner and many of my in-laws lived through an actual civil war; even after accounting for the killings, bombings and all the horror, it's just a lot of day-to-day hassle. Arbitrary lock-downs, check points, curfews, a crappy economy, I just can't see your average modern American being up for that.
The result in the Governors race in Virgnina (and possibly also in NJ) does not bode well for the Democrats in the mid-terms in 2022 - to put it mildly. No doubt other shifts played their part, but there was a dramatic swing from Dem to Rep among white women, AKA "moms." The race became centred on a confected but very effective moral panic over books and CRT in schools. Expect much more of this to come. A friend sits on the school board of a small town/rural PA school board. They've managed to keep the schools open during the pandemic, get good results, and - needless to say - don't promote/teach CRT and yet our friend, a moderate, centrist liberal, has been harangued and harassed, followed to his car by mobs following meetings, accused of being a paedophile, and received threats, all for trying to carry out some public service. The campaign against the current school board is financed by murky outside money. Biden is already stymied by his tenuous hold on Congress (and by the showboating of Manchin and Systema. And his own missteps, it must be admitted). Loss of control in 2022 would pave the way to Republican presidential victory in 2024.
I have the impression that people keen to take to arms are more often righteous than rational.
A friend sits on the school board of a small town/rural PA school board. They've managed to keep the schools open during the pandemic, get good results, and - needless to say - don't promote/teach CRT and yet our friend, a moderate, centrist liberal, has been harangued and harassed, followed to his car by mobs following meetings, accused of being a paedophile, and received threats, all for trying to carry out some public service. The campaign against the current school board is financed by murky outside money.
Admittedly I haven't read anything about this, but does this remove a federal right to have an abortion, but leave it for states to legislate independently; or is it a complete ban on abortions across all states?
Politico quoted Alito as saying: “Roe was egregiously wrong from the start. Its reasoning was exceptionally weak, and the decision has had damaging consequences. And far from bringing about a national settlement of the abortion issue, Roe and Casey have enflamed debate and deepened division.”The justice adds: “We hold that Roe and Casey must be overruled. It is time to heed the constitution and return the issue of abortion to the people’s elected representatives.”
Roe v Wade enshrined a right, this will remove it.
If they really wanted to cut back abortions, they would massively invest in sex education and family plan. But that's not the point, its a culture war and meant to punish a certain type of woman.
Quote from: JamieG on May 03, 2022, 01:33:06 pm If they really wanted to cut back abortions, they would massively invest in sex education and family plan. But that's not the point, its a culture war and meant to punish a certain type of woman.The type with ovaries, I expect.
I realise this isn't why the right wing are after Roe Vs Wade, but criminalising abortions doesn't even decrease them! It just forces it underground, where it is more risky. If they really wanted to cut back abortions, they would massively invest in sex education and family plan. But that's not the point, its a culture war and meant to punish a certain type of woman.https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/may/11/criminalising-abortion-does-not-cut-number-of-terminations-says-study(The same is true for drugs, decriminalising and providing education and healthcare to addicts is massively more effective than punitive measures!)